Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/11455/28204
標題: 能源與環境經濟學跨國分析之三篇論文
THREE ESSAYS ON THE ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT ECONOMICS CROSS COUNTRIES ANALYSIS
作者: 李俊德
Lee, Jun-De
關鍵字: Energy demand
能源需求
Energy price
CO2
能源價格
二氧化碳
出版社: 應用經濟學系所
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摘要: This dissertation is composed of three essays on the energy and environment Economics. The first essay applies panel unit root, panel cointegration and panel causality techniques to examine the total energy demand functions of 25 selected OECD countries during the 1978-2004 period. The results indicate that total energy demand is income and price inelastic. Based on the panel causality tests, there are reciprocal causal relationships among income, energy price and total energy consumption. The results for the panel as a whole suggest that the demand for energy in the OECD countries is being driven largely by strong economic growth, while consumers are largely insensitive to price changes. In the second essay, we test the efficient market hypothesis using total energy price and disaggregated energy prices for OECD countries over the period 1978-2006. For that purpose, we employ a panel stationarity test which incorporates multiple shifts in level and slope, thereby controlling for cross-sectional dependence through bootstrap methods. The results show that once multiple endogenous breaks are allowed for and appropriate critical values are used, the series appear to be I(0). That is, real energy prices are stationary processes, inconsistent with the efficient market hypothesis. Consequently, it shows the presence of profitable arbitrage opportunities among energy prices. The third essay investigates the stationary of CO2 and real GDP per capita for seven regional panel sets covering the 1971-2003 period. We apply the panel seemingly unrelated regressions augmented Dickey-Fuller test developed by Breuer et al. (2001, 2002). The panel SURADF unit root tests account for the presence of cross-country correlations in the data. Besides, the parameters in the panel specification vary across countries. More importantly, panel SURADF tests allow us to identify how many and which members of the panel contain a unit root. Overall, the empirical results illustrate that these countries are a mixture of I(0) and I(1) process and the commonly used panel root tests could lead to misleading inferences and the conduct of cointegration analysis perhaps is not appropriate.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/11455/28204
其他識別: U0005-2406200815410800
文章連結: http://www.airitilibrary.com/Publication/alDetailedMesh1?DocID=U0005-2406200815410800
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