請用此 Handle URI 來引用此文件: http://hdl.handle.net/11455/45641
標題: The value of ENSO information to agriculture: Consideration of event strength and trade
作者: Chen, C.C.
陳吉仲
McCarl, B.A.
關鍵字: agricultural sector model (ASM)
El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
spatial equilibrium model
stochastic programming
value of information
us
期刊/報告no:: Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Volume 25, Issue 2, Page(s) 368-385.
摘要: The agricultural value of Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phase knowledge is measured in a value-of-information framework using economic models. We examine the value of considering the full distribution of ENSO phase strength effects as opposed to average ENSO phase strength effects, as well as the implications of considering ENSO impacts on the rest of the world (ROW). A stochastic U.S. agricultural sector model linked with a global trade model is used to assess the value of ENSO phase information. When the full distribution of ENSO phase strength is considered, the value of phase information increases twofold with respect to the average ENSO effects.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/11455/45641
ISSN: 0162-1912
顯示於類別:應用經濟學系

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