Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/11455/45628
DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.authorChen, C.C.en_US
dc.contributor.author陳吉仲zh_TW
dc.contributor.authorMcCarl, B.en_US
dc.contributor.authorHill, H.en_US
dc.date2002zh_TW
dc.date.accessioned2014-06-06T08:15:22Z-
dc.date.available2014-06-06T08:15:22Z-
dc.identifier.issn0165-0009zh_TW
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11455/45628-
dc.description.abstractThe El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) effect has been found to be associated with regional climate variations in many regions of the world, and, in turn, with variation in crop yields. Previous studies have found that early releases of ENSO phase information could permit agricultural producers to make adjustments in their decisions and in turn generate an increase in agricultural sector welfare. This study examines whether the value of the agricultural responses can be enhanced by releasing more detailed ENSO information. Namely we evaluate the implications for projected agricultural welfare under release and adaptation to the Stone and Auliciems five phase definition of ENSO states as opposed to the more standard three phase definition. This value is estimated using a stochastic, U.S./global agricultural model representing 22 climate years. The results indicate that the release and exploitation of the more detailed ENSO phase definition almost doubles the welfare impact. The results also indicate that there is room for up to another doubling of information value through further refinements.en_US
dc.language.isoen_USzh_TW
dc.relationClimatic Changeen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseriesClimatic Change, Volume 54, Issue 3, Page(s) 305-325.en_US
dc.relation.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1023/a:1016160218221en_US
dc.subjectsouthern-oscillation indexen_US
dc.subjectcrop yieldsen_US
dc.subjectusen_US
dc.subjectpredictionen_US
dc.subjectanomaliesen_US
dc.subjectrainfallen_US
dc.subjectwheaten_US
dc.subjecttexasen_US
dc.titleAgricultural value of ENSO information under alternative phase definitionen_US
dc.typeJournal Articlezh_TW
dc.identifier.doi10.1023/a:1016160218221zh_TW
item.grantfulltextnone-
item.openairetypeJournal Article-
item.languageiso639-1en_US-
item.fulltextno fulltext-
item.cerifentitytypePublications-
item.openairecristypehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18cf-
Appears in Collections:應用經濟學系
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