Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
標題: 地震引起之電力中斷對台灣可能造成之一般均衡經濟衝擊
Modeling General Equilibrium Economic Impacts of Earthquake Induced Electricity Disruptions in Taiwan
作者: 廖述誼
關鍵字: 經濟學;應用研究

Every year Taiwan is exposed to a large number of earthquakes and many geographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the island make the power system of Taiwan very vulnerable to the impacts of earthquakes. The highly unpredictable and complicated nature of each earthquake, its damages and impacts presents enormous challenges for economic modeling of earthquake induced electricity disruptions. At the very moment of the shock (Phase 1), regional total blackout happens due to the disconnectivity of transmission and distribution systems and the temporally shut down of power generators. After the shock (Phase 2), the reduction in power supply (RPS) gradually decreases as the power system started being restored. In Phase 2, the RPS depends on how badly the system is damaged as well as how repair work proceeds. In the aftermath of the Chi-Chi earthquake, it took about 20 days for the fully recovery of electricity supply. Because the direct and indirect economic impacts during Phase 2 could be much higher than that during Phase 1, it is important to evaluate the performance of a damaged power system in terms of its electricity supply discontinuity in both Phase 1 and Phase 2In order to better understand the Phase-1 and Phase-2 impacts of earthquake induced electricity disruptions on Taiwan's economy, the purpose of this study is to incorporate a simulation module for the seismic response analysis for Taiwan electric power system, a spatial differential socioeconomic geographic information system, individual and market resilient enhancement measures, demand surge, and intertemporal economic interactions in the aftermath of a earthquake disaster into a computable general equilibrium model. The results will provide more detailed information about the vulnerability of the economy to earthquake induced electricity disruptions. In addition, the results can be utilized to make policy decisions of future cost-effective retrofit and countermeasure investments in the power system.
其他識別: NSC100-2410-H005-019
Appears in Collections:應用經濟學系

Show full item record

Google ScholarTM


Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.