Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/11455/69387
標題: Predictive ability of logistic regression, auto-logistic regression and neural network models in empirical land-use change modeling - a case study
作者: Lin, Y.P.
Chu, H.J.
Wu, C.F.
Verburg, P.H.
關鍵字: auto-logistic regression;artificial neural networks;landscape metrics;empirical land-use change model;urban-growth;cellular-automata;change scenarios;forest fringe;use;patterns;dynamics;gis;deforestation;management;resolution
Project: International Journal of Geographical Information Science
期刊/報告no:: International Journal of Geographical Information Science, Volume 25, Issue 1, Page(s) 65-87.
摘要: 
The objective of this study is to compare the abilities of logistic, auto-logistic and artificial neural network (ANN) models for quantifying the relationships between land uses and their drivers. In addition, the application of the results obtained by the three techniques is tested in a dynamic land-use change model (CLUE-s) for the Paochiao watershed region in Taiwan. Relative operating characteristic curves (ROCs), kappa statistics, multiple resolution validation and landscape metrics were used to assess the ability of the three techniques in estimating the relationship between driving factors and land use and its subsequent application in land-use change models. The validation results illustrate that for this case study ANNs constitute a powerful alternative for the use of logistic regression in empirical modeling of spatial land-use change processes. ANNs provide in this case a better fit between driving factors and land-use pattern. In addition, auto-logistic regression performs better than logistic regression and nearly as well as ANNs. Auto-logistic regression and ANNs are considered especially useful when the performance of more conventional models is not satisfactory or the underlying data relationships are unknown. The results indicate that an evaluation of alternative techniques to specify relationships between driving factors and land use can improve the performance of land-use change models.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/11455/69387
ISSN: 1365-8816
DOI: 10.1080/13658811003752332
Appears in Collections:期刊論文

Show full item record
 

Google ScholarTM

Check

Altmetric

Altmetric


Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.